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Polymarket wallet 0x1241675120f112ea0c537b38c6009dacb3202713 · on Polymarket since Sep 25, 2024 · also shown as Warlike-Picture
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,073 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$118 −100% |
| Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 387 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Israel declares war on Iran in October?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 173 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity be proven in Q4 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 648 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Will the HBO documentary identify Shinichi Mochizuki as Satoshi?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,403 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$58 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 338d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes11¢ | $118 |
| 747d | Will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity be proven in Q4 2024? | BuyYes12¢ | $80 |
| 747d | Will the HBO documentary identify Shinichi Mochizuki as Satoshi? | BuyYes1¢ | $20 |
| 747d | Will the HBO documentary identify Shinichi Mochizuki as Satoshi? | BuyYes1¢ | $38 |
| 747d | Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi? | SellYes37¢ | $38 |
| 747d | Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi? | BuyYes39¢ | $40 |
| 747d | Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi? | BuyYes16¢ | $10 |
| 747d | Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi? | BuyYes16¢ | $50 |
| 748d | Israel declares war on Iran in October? | BuyYes10¢ | $17 |
| 753d | Another Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | BuyYes23¢ | $50 |
| 753d | Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October? | SellNo94¢ | $167 |
| 759d | Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October? | BuyNo28¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.