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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 722d | Israel declares war on Iran in October? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,934 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 723d | Israel declares war on Iran in October? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,497 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 723d | Israel declares war on Iran in October? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,721 | +$335 +3.4% | 4 | |
| 725d | Israel declares war on Iran in October? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,949 | +$51 +1.0% | 4 | |
| 726d | SlavaUkraini | Israel declares war on Iran in October? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $46,676 | +$615 +1.3% | 4 |
| 726d | betonmemotherducker | Israel declares war on Iran in October? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$13 +1.3% | 4 |
| 726d | Israel declares war on Iran in October? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$14 +1.4% | 4 | |
| 727d | Israel declares war on Iran in October? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,667 | −$256 −3.3% | — | |
| 728d | Israel declares war on Iran in October? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,445 | +$50 +2.0% | 4 | |
| 733d | JustDegen | Israel declares war on Iran in October? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,450 | +$46 +3.2% | 4 |
| 734d | Israel declares war on Iran in October? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,055 | +$220 +7.2% | 4 | |
| 736d | h038596027355 | Israel declares war on Iran in October? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,133 | −$89 −4.2% | — |
| 739d | Bettingisfun | Israel declares war on Iran in October? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,424 | +$57 +4.0% | 4 |
| 739d | Israel declares war on Iran in October? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,601 | −$99 −6.2% | — | |
| 747d | RD29 | Israel declares war on Iran in October? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,349 | +$117 +8.7% | 4 |
| 747d | h038596027355 | Israel declares war on Iran in October? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,944 | +$256 +8.7% | 4 |
| 750d | Israel declares war on Iran in October? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,086 | +$214 +10% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially declares war against Iran between October 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A declaration of war must be clear, and explicit. The market will resolve to "No" if no such official declaration of war is made by Israel within this market's timeframe. This market's resolution source will be official information from the State of Israel.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.