day77

Polymarket wallet 0x126d8007c5facabe83dc4dc32e11f6d47f8ef863 · on Polymarket since Aug 18, 2024 · also shown as Extra-Small-Caftan

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $605
All-time profit: −$141
Volume traded: $161K
All-time rank: #2,732,802
Markets traded: 205
Recent hit rate: 88%44 of last 50 closed

Open positions

32 markets · $605

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d	No	172	87¢ → 95¢	$164	+$14 +9.1%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 68d	Yes	250	72¢ → 59¢	$148	−$34 −19%
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Ends in 249d	No	79	96¢ → 98¢	$78	+$2 +2.6%
Will Kylian Mbappé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 37d	Yes	51	68¢ → 94¢	$49	+$14 +39%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 68d	No	99	25¢ → 41¢	$40	+$16 +64%
Will Michael Owen attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 37d	Yes	48	52¢ → 63¢	$30	+$5 +20%
Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 37d	Yes	88	28¢ → 34¢	$30	+$5 +20%
Will Sergio Ramos attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 37d	No	26	38¢ → 86¢	$23	+$13 +127%
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 57d	Yes	44	45¢ → 48¢	$21	+$1 +5.6%
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 158d	Yes	117	12¢ → 15¢	$17	+$4 +25%
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Ends in 158d	Yes	41	5¢ → 8¢	$3	+$1 +54%
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Ends in 249d	Yes	165	4¢ → 2¢	$3	−$3 −55%
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 50 and 100 hours without failure?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	100	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem	No	372	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$165 −100%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	102	56¢ → 0¢	$0	−$57 −100%
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	6	37¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?Settled - ready to redeem	No	40	65¢ → 0¢	$0	−$26 −100%
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	57	44¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	233	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$35 −100%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.175T by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem	No	164	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" this week?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	7	59¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.2T by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem	No	17	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem	No	22	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $95B by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem	No	253	79¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Will the announcers say "Tom Cruise" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	77	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$35 −100%
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assistsSettled - ready to redeem	Yes	79	19¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Will the announcers say "Ticket" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	103	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$35 −100%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight RidersSettled - ready to redeem	Kolkata Knight Riders	10	26¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top global Netflix show this week?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	32	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	91	33¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 3 weeks?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	50	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Anthropic vs OpenAI — greater valuation growth August 2026Settled - ready to redeem	OpenAI	125	28¢ → 0¢	$0	−$35 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
7d	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	BuyYes45¢	$21
7d	Will Kylian Mbappé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	BuyYes68¢	$36
7d	Will Michael Owen attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	BuyYes52¢	$26
7d	Will Sergio Ramos attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	BuyNo38¢	$10
7d	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	BuyYes28¢	$26
7d	Will $ANSEM reach $0.6 before 2027?	SellYes7¢	$32
37d	Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $550B by September 30?	BuyNo85¢	$75
37d	Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $130B by September 30?	BuyNo81¢	$40
37d	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $185B by September 30?	BuyNo64¢	$65
37d	Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by September 30?	BuyNo>99¢	$300
83d	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by August 31?	BuyNo96¢	$300
83d	Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	BuyYes12¢	$15
83d	Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?	BuyYes5¢	$2
83d	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.175T by August 31?	BuyNo9¢	$16
83d	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.2T by August 31?	BuyNo49¢	$9
83d	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by August 31?	BuyNo96¢	$50
83d	Stripe vs Databricks — greater valuation growth August 2026	BuyDatabricks84¢	$86
83d	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by August 31?	BuyNo92¢	$301
83d	Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by August 31?	BuyNo99¢	$200
83d	Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by August 31?	BuyNo99¢	$108
83d	Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by August 31?	BuyYes56¢	$58
83d	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $13B by August 31?	BuyNo96¢	$40
83d	Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $575B by August 31?	BuyNo44¢	$169
83d	Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $92.5B by August 31?	BuyNo28¢	$31
83d	Anthropic vs OpenAI — greater valuation growth August 2026	BuyOpenAI28¢	$36
98d	Will the announcers say "Tom Cruise" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?	BuyYes46¢	$26
98d	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by July 31?	SellNo98¢	$41
98d	Will the announcers say "Tom Cruise" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?	BuyYes44¢	$10
98d	Will the announcers say "Ticket" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?	BuyYes34¢	$36
98d	Will Ariana Grande feature Nicki Minaj on Petal?	SellNo97¢	$30
102d	Lionel Messi: 1+ assists AND Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals	Buy3¢	$11
103d	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?	SellNo88¢	$1
103d	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?	SellNo88¢	$26
108d	Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $8.25B by July 31?	BuyNo25¢	$43
108d	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by July 31?	BuyNo60¢	$30
108d	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by July 31?	BuyNo59¢	$137
108d	Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by December 31?	SellNo43¢	$10
109d	Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?	SellNo94¢	$118
109d	Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?	SellNo94¢	$82
109d	Will $ANSEM reach $0.6 before 2027?	BuyYes58¢	$290
110d	Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assists	BuyYes19¢	$15
110d	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by July 31?	BuyNo59¢	$135
110d	Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $7.25B by July 31?	BuyNo49¢	$103
110d	Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $8.25B by July 31?	BuyNo20¢	$46
110d	Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by July 31?	BuyNo45¢	$20
110d	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by July 31?	BuyNo97¢	$40
110d	Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by December 31?	BuyNo52¢	$12
110d	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?	BuyNo84¢	$26
110d	Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?	BuyNo94¢	$200
110d	Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250 by July 31?	BuyNo98¢	$50
110d	Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by July 31?	BuyNo98¢	$100
110d	Will the announcers say "Ref" or "Referee" 10+ times during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?	BuyYes65¢	$20
113d	Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals AND Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score AND Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5	Buy21¢	$25
113d	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?	BuyNo65¢	$26
121d	Gilberto Mora: 1+ goals AND Johan Manzambi: 1+ goals	Buy4¢	$10
125d	Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 1.5 AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Buy41¢	$20
138d	Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $95B by June 30?	BuyNo79¢	$202
138d	Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by June 30?	BuyYes37¢	$2
138d	Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	BuyYes44¢	$26
138d	Will Ariana Grande feature Nicki Minaj on Petal?	BuyNo97¢	$30

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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