Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vozinha | 96% | +47 pts | — | 93¢ · 98¢ (5¢) | $11.6K | in 37d |
| Rodri | 98% | 0 pts | +9 pts | 98¢ · 99¢ (1¢) | — | in 37d |
| Xavi Hernandez | 3% | — | −20 pts | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | in 37d |
| Harry Kane | 98% | 0 pts | +3 pts | 97¢ · >99¢ (3¢) | — | in 37d |
| Ronaldinho | 26% | +16 pts | — | 23¢ · 28¢ (5¢) | $3.14K | in 37d |
| Luis Enrique | 5% | −11 pts | — | 3¢ · 6¢ (3¢) | $2.9K | in 37d |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 82% | +10 pts | −11 pts | 74¢ · 89¢ (15¢) | $2.84K | in 37d |
| Lionel Messi | 44% | +15 pts | +12 pts | 41¢ · 47¢ (6¢) | $2.69K | in 37d |
| DJ Snake | 12% | −39 pts | — | 10¢ · 13¢ (3¢) | $1.99K | in 37d |
| Thierry Henry | 98% | +1 pts | — | 96¢ · 99¢ (3¢) | $1.92K | in 37d |
| Vinícius Júnior | 81% | −2 pts | +64 pts | 79¢ · 82¢ (3¢) | $1.26K | in 37d |
| Princess Charlene of Monaco | 52% | +38 pts | — | 26¢ · 77¢ (51¢) | $1.22K | in 37d |
| Vincent Kompany | 3% | −23 pts | — | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | $1.14K | in 37d |
| Fabián Ruiz | 3% | −3 pts | — | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | $1.01K | in 37d |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 3% | +1 pts | −5 pts | 2¢ · 4¢ (2¢) | $966 | in 37d |
| Jude Bellingham | 80% | −8 pts | — | 70¢ · 90¢ (20¢) | $896 | in 37d |
| Zinedine Zidane | 66% | −2 pts | +35 pts | 65¢ · 66¢ (1¢) | $570 | in 37d |
| Kylian Mbappé | 94% | +1 pts | +25 pts | 94¢ · 95¢ (1¢) | $372 | in 37d |
| Kaka | 17% | +2 pts | −10 pts | 16¢ · 17¢ (1¢) | $350 | in 37d |
| Erling Haaland | 87% | +18 pts | — | 77¢ · 96¢ (19¢) | $227 | in 37d |
| Kate Scott | 99% | +1 pts | — | 98¢ · >99¢ (2¢) | $201 | in 37d |
| Lamine Yamal | 98% | 0 pts | +4 pts | 98¢ · 99¢ (1¢) | $200 | in 37d |
| Sergio Ramos | 15% | −1 pts | −10 pts | 13¢ · 16¢ (4¢) | $143 | in 37d |
| Ronaldo Nazário | 30% | — | — | 29¢ · 30¢ (1¢) | $110 | in 37d |
| Pep Guardiola | 28% | −14 pts | — | 27¢ · 30¢ (3¢) | $101 | in 37d |
| Jürgen Klopp | 28% | −1 pts | — | 27¢ · 28¢ (1¢) | $40 | in 37d |
| Michael Owen | 61% | — | +16 pts | 59¢ · 63¢ (4¢) | $38.7 | in 37d |
| Michael Olise | 56% | −9 pts | — | 55¢ · 56¢ (1¢) | $20 | in 37d |
| David Beckham | 60% | +6 pts | −17 pts | 59¢ · 60¢ (1¢) | $17.6 | in 37d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18h | 01258787xy48487484545122 | Vozinha | BuyYes64¢ → 96¢ | $2,421 | +$1,204 +50% | 21 |
| 20h | Reckless-Estrogen-CompetenceNew account | Luis Enrique | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $1,115 | +$11 +0.9% | 9 |
| 1d | 01258787xy48487484545122 | Lionel Messi | BuyNo68¢ → 56¢ | $2,661 | −$471 −18% | 24 |
| 1d |  Parz1vaI | Cristiano Ronaldo | BuyNo96¢ → 97¢ | $2,051 | +$15 +0.7% | 7 |
| 4d |  vinii | Sergio Ramos | BuyNo75¢ → 85¢ | $1,209 | +$168 +14% | 21 |
| 7d | KiernanMeister | Ousmane Dembélé | BuyYes79¢ → 82¢ | $1,399 | +$53 +3.8% | 18 |
aliaspopeye1,260 sharesThe 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to be held in London on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, attending the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 96¢ for Vozinha means the market gives it about 96%.