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Polymarket wallet 0x1483de8c4793242a7c8bc9b0ee937af8a0dc1dc7 · on Polymarket since Oct 5, 2026 · also shown as Knowing-Career
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 50 | 70¢ → 74¢ | $37 | +$2 +5.7% |
| Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 50 | 52¢ → 60¢ | $30 | +$4 +15% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Illinois Senate election by 20%-25%?Ends in 10d | Yes | 20 | 25¢ → 30¢ | $6 | +$1 +20% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 50 | 33¢ → 11¢ | $5 | −$11 −68% |
| Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Ends ended | No | 50 | 54¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$25 −94% |
| Will Seoul have 85mm or more of precipitation in October?Ends in 75d | Yes | 50 | 16¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$6 −81% |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 2.7% or less in September?Ends in 4d | Yes | 50 | 16¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$8 −96% |
| Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 75d | No | 2 | 31¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$0 −89% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.