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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Milei | 61% | −1 pts | +4 pts | 59¢ · 63¢ (4¢) | $33.5 | in 366d |
| Axel Kicillof | 22% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 20¢ · 23¢ (3¢) | $36 | in 366d |
| Patricia Bullrich | 11% | −2 pts | +11 pts | 1¢ · 22¢ (21¢) | — | in 366d |
| Karina Milei | 6% | 0 pts | +6 pts | <1¢ · 12¢ (12¢) | — | in 366d |
| Guillermo Moreno | 4% | — | — | <1¢ · 8¢ (8¢) | — | in 366d |
| Myriam Bregman | 4% | 0 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 7¢ (7¢) | — | in 366d |
| Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro | 3% | 0 pts | −2 pts | <1¢ · 6¢ (6¢) | — | in 366d |
| Sergio Massa | 3% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | in 366d |
| Juan Schiaretti | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 366d |
| Facundo Manes | 1% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 366d |
| Cristina Fernández de Kirchner | 1% | — | −2 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 366d |
| Esteban Bullrich | <1% | — | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 366d |
| Juan Grabois | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 366d |
| Mauricio Macri | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 366d |
| Daniel Hadad | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 366d |
| Victoria Villarruel | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 366d |
| Dante Gebel | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 366d |
| Nicolás del Caño | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 366d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Argentine government, specifically the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 61¢ for Javier Milei means the market gives it about 61%.