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Polymarket wallet 0x1514985aa76dffc59480f5d1464dfcf04df5691d · on Polymarket since Jun 19, 2025 · also shown as Difficult-Pancake
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 58 | 40¢ → 100¢ | $58 | +$35 +150% |
| US military action against Iran by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$75 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 928 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$65 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 491d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyYes9¢ | $47 |
| 491d | Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? | BuyYes40¢ | $23 |
| 492d | US military action against Iran by Friday? | BuyYes25¢ | $75 |
| 492d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday? | BuyYes4¢ | $18 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.