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Polymarket wallet 0x15864ce4993233b4f18c5a656a41df2172e6df52 · on Polymarket since Feb 20, 2026 · also shown as Spotted-Raid
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 176 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $205 on February 24?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 174 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 99 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$84 −100% |
| Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's State of the Union address?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 179 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 239d | US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | BuyNo84¢ | $84 |
| 242d | Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's State of the Union address? | BuyNo56¢ | $100 |
| 242d | Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BuyNo81¢ | $55 |
| 242d | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $205 on February 24? | BuyNo23¢ | $40 |
| 242d | Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes85¢ | $150 |
| 242d | Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | SellNo15¢ | $42 |
| 242d | Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | SellNo16¢ | $32 |
| 242d | Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo17¢ | $20 |
| 242d | Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo17¢ | $62 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.