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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $14 | +$1 +5.3% |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $8 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 63¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$2 +60% |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 11 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.