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Polymarket wallet 0x15cb5eae4708323a9c8e8bc4bda8ac38170bcc7c · on Polymarket since Jan 8, 2025 · also shown as Spicy-Dromedary
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,583 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$380 −100% |
| Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,623 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$600 −100% |
| Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,133 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$480 −100% |
| Solana above $215 on January 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,782 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$134 −100% |
| Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,993 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$400 −100% |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11,894 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 610d | Ripple above $2.70 on February 21? | SellYes49¢ | $8,960 |
| 612d | Ripple above $2.70 on February 21? | BuyYes22¢ | $4,000 |
| 640d | TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? | BuyNo<1¢ | $50 |
| 640d | Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24? | BuyYes37¢ | $600 |
| 640d | TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? | SellNo1¢ | $758 |
| 641d | Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day? | BuyNo21¢ | $100 |
| 641d | Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day? | BuyNo20¢ | $300 |
| 641d | TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? | BuyNo1¢ | $100 |
| 641d | TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? | BuyNo1¢ | $500 |
| 652d | Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10? | BuyYes13¢ | $80 |
| 652d | Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10? | BuyYes10¢ | $80 |
| 652d | Solana above $215 on January 10? | BuyYes3¢ | $35 |
| 653d | Solana above $215 on January 10? | BuyYes6¢ | $99 |
| 653d | Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10? | BuyYes15¢ | $100 |
| 653d | Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10? | BuyYes18¢ | $300 |
| 653d | Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10? | BuyYes31¢ | $300 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.