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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +22 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 641d | MAGA.MUSK | Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day? | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,437 | +$21 +0.1% | 4 |
| 641d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe33 fills | Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,002 | +$73 +0.7% | 4 |
| 641d | EGGGGGGGGGGGGGG | Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,280 | +$20 +0.6% | 4 |
| 641d | abeautifulmind | Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,274 | +$16 +1.3% | 4 |
| 641d | pantomime | Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$20 +1.0% | 4 |
| 641d |  Car3 fills | Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,936 | +$198 +2.0% | 4 |
| 641d |  AgricultureSecretary | Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,837 | +$167 +9.1% | 4 |
| 641d | poptree3 fills | Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day? | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $6,828 | +$1,554 +23% | 4 |
| 641d | Friendly-Scrutiny | Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,743 | +$189 +2.8% | 4 |
| 641d |  DoneWithIt | Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,488 | −$52 −3.5% | — |
| 641d | madkkee | Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day? | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $2,396 | −$2,396 −100% | 4 |
| 641d |  RiseAndSunny | Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day? | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$500 +33% | 4 |
| 641d | SaylorMoon | Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day? | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $2,698 | +$1,156 +43% | 4 |
| 641d | noovd | Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | −$52 −4.9% | — |
| 641d |  Erasmus. | Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,109 | +$106 +9.5% | 4 |
| 642d |  RewardsPeasant | Will Trump declare a national emergency on his first day? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,119 | +$348 +11% | 4 |
Guy4205,088 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act (NEA) by January 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A national emergency must actually be declared for this market to resolve to "Yes" - it will not be enough for Trump to announce an intention to declare a national emergency. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.