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Polymarket wallet 0x1631ab2d89b30496bd4ded1e18505b5750acdfd2 · on Polymarket since Apr 25, 2026 · also shown as Somber-Wingtip
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 114 | 88¢ → 83¢ | $94 | −$6 −5.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 54 | 37¢ → 37¢ | $20 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?Ends in 424d | No | 85 | 59¢ → 18¢ | $15 | −$35 −70% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 82 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 216 | 93¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 107 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.