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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 134 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 870 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 7 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BuyUp8¢ | $12 |
| 17d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | BuyUp2¢ | $22 |
| 17d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BuyDown68¢ | $5 |
| 17d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | SellUp99¢ | $1 |
| 17d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | BuyUp97¢ | $1 |
| 20d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BuyUp51¢ | $1 |
| 20d | Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026? | SellYes97¢ | $1 |
| 20d | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SellYes63¢ | $1 |
| 21d | Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026? | BuyYes99¢ | $1 |
| 21d | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BuyYes72¢ | $1 |
| 21d | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.