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Polymarket wallet 0x17f4c1b96d855394bdc4501423f5b1db4dddd4b8 · on Polymarket since Apr 29, 2025 · also shown as Single-Reindeer
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 745 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $745 | +$44 +6.3% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 246d | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BuyYes94¢ | $701 |
| 282d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SellYes19¢ | $138 |
| 282d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SellYes40¢ | $57 |
| 285d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes20¢ | $100 |
| 286d | US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? | SellYes3¢ | $4 |
| 286d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SellYes46¢ | $170 |
| 286d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes22¢ | $50 |
| 288d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes27¢ | $100 |
| 288d | US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? | BuyYes8¢ | $10 |
| 288d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes35¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.