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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 37 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on February 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 13 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on February 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 17 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 251d | Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | BuyNo63¢ | $25 |
| 261d | Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on February 5? | SellDown99¢ | $18 |
| 261d | Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
| 261d | Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on February 5? | BuyDown78¢ | $14 |
| 261d | Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on February 5? | BuyUp70¢ | $12 |
| 262d | Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on February 4? | BuyDown78¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.