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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8+ | 100% | +1 pts | +29 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 0 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1 | 0% | +1 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 3 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 4 | 0% | 0 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 5 | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 6 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 7 | 0% | −1 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 137d | 0xa14b…05e4 | 8+ | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,779 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 137d | 0xa14b…05e4 | 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,316 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 137d | chaosj88 | 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 138d | 0x71e1…45f0 | 7 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,309 | +$14 +1.1% | 4 |
| 205d | 0x4e25…d7a72 fills | 5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,386 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 205d | CB-Compound | 5 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,099 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 205d |  DEGENKHAN | 7 | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,298 | −$229 −18% | — |
| 207d |  Cloverince2 fills | 4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,093 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 207d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | 4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,428 | +$6 +0.4% | 4 |
| 212d | February-Can-Margin | 5 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,678 | −$88 −5.3% | — |
| 212d | hint99 | 5 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,387 | −$73 −5.3% | — |
| 212d | hint99 | 5 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,386 | +$74 +5.4% | 4 |
| 212d | hybridbx94 | 5 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,403 | −$75 −5.4% | — |
| 212d | Pitch55 | 5 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,128 | −$61 −5.4% | — |
| 212d | novelxf87 | 5 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,363 | −$73 −5.4% | — |
| 212d | novelxf87 | 5 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,363 | +$73 +5.4% | 4 |
| 212d | hybridbx94 | 5 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,403 | +$75 +5.4% | 4 |
| 212d | Success421 | 5 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,550 | −$83 −5.4% | — |
| 212d | stereo499 | 5 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,076 | −$58 −5.4% | — |
| 212d | cabinnq24 | 5 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | −$54 −5.4% | — |
| 212d | Success421 | 5 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,550 | +$83 +5.4% | 4 |
| 212d | Shuffle-Empower | 5 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,302 | −$69 −5.3% | — |
| 212d | bachelor-camera2 fills | 5 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,520 | −$130 −5.2% | — |
| 212d | build.verb.boring | 5 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,051 | −$57 −5.4% | — |
| 212d | build.verb.boring | 5 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | +$57 +5.4% | 4 |
| 212d | Exclude-Blouse2 fills | 5 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,857 | −$155 −5.4% | — |
| 212d | Light4652 fills | 5 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,493 | −$134 −5.4% | — |
| 212d | when5162 fills | 5 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,671 | −$145 −5.4% | — |
| 212d | normal-color-slam2 fills | 5 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,772 | +$142 +5.1% | 4 |
| 212d | Light4652 fills | 5 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,908 | +$145 +5.0% | 4 |
| 212d | vacuumOutput | 5 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | +$58 +5.5% | 4 |
| 212d | subway840 | 5 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,211 | +$66 +5.5% | 4 |
| 212d | cabbage.thought.absent | 5 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | −$57 −5.4% | — |
| 212d | Utility-Lift | 5 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | −$56 −5.5% | — |
| 212d | strong-ghost | 5 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,603 | −$88 −5.5% | — |
| 212d | century30 | 5 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,607 | +$88 +5.5% | 4 |
| 212d | strong-ghost | 5 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,603 | +$88 +5.5% | 4 |
| 212d | Include41 | 5 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,230 | +$67 +5.5% | 4 |
| 212d | enemy8126 | 5 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | −$60 −5.5% | — |
| 212d | sun8483 | 5 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,234 | −$68 −5.5% | — |
| 212d | treerp84 | 5 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,214 | −$67 −5.5% | — |
| 212d | cannonManage | 5 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,305 | −$72 −5.5% | — |
| 212d | net-text | 5 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,339 | −$73 −5.5% | — |
| 212d | net-text | 5 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,339 | +$73 +5.5% | 4 |
| 212d | sun8483 | 5 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$59 +5.5% | 4 |
| 212d | divorce630 | 5 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,319 | −$69 −5.3% | — |
| 212d | divorce630 | 5 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,316 | +$72 +5.5% | 4 |
| 212d | Acid-Verb | 5 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,533 | −$84 −5.5% | — |
| 212d | law.flock.palm | 5 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$73 +5.4% | 4 |
| 212d | orange.bus.notable | 5 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,482 | −$78 −5.3% | — |
| 212d | skull0319 | 5 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | −$62 −5.3% | — |
| 212d | beef1194 | 5 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | −$63 −5.3% | — |
| 213d | paymentUpgrade2 fills | 5 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,176 | −$102 −4.7% | — |
| 213d | once1416 | 5 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,192 | −$55 −4.6% | — |
| 213d | highbh40 | 5 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,379 | −$63 −4.6% | — |
| 213d | oppose-trim | 5 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,599 | +$81 +5.0% | 4 |
| 213d | open0379 | 5 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,588 | +$80 +5.0% | 4 |
| 213d | easilysx53 | 5 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,505 | +$76 +5.0% | 4 |
| 213d | Hometerm | 5 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,345 | +$68 +5.0% | 4 |
| 213d | vicious-galaxy | 5 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,258 | +$63 +5.0% | 4 |
labistiiia999 sharesThis market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 8+ means the market gives it about 100%.