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Polymarket wallet 0x18f2844ca2e3b610b253d5b2f4b07d96e9276878 · on Polymarket since Oct 6, 2024 · also shown as Average-Bough
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5,750 | 15¢ → 4¢ | $213 | −$667 −76% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4,400 | 11¢ → 2¢ | $99 | −$389 −80% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 110 | 19¢ → 3¢ | $4 | −$17 −82% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,475 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22,132 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,005 −100% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on September 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7,680 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$461 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 17 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.