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Polymarket wallet 0x1a6b8d594263af4912b2263cbdaac26b958ec08b · on Polymarket since Jan 15, 2026 · also shown as Wavy-Frame
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Mike Waltz be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 47 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 29 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 281d | Will Mike Waltz be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 281d | U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 16, 2026? | BuyNo<1¢ | $3 |
| 281d | Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday? | BuyYes6¢ | $2 |
| 281d | U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | BuyNo17¢ | $5 |
| 281d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes25¢ | $2 |
| 281d | Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)? | BuyYes8¢ | $1 |
| 281d | US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026? | BuyYes11¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.