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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 16 | 100% | −65 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| January 23 | 100% | −48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 281d | Kind-SubstitutionNew account | January 16 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,415 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 281d |  mioki | January 16 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,989 | +$11 +0.2% | 4 |
| 281d |  branson69 | January 23 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,280 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 281d |  goalone | January 23 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,527 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 281d | yougotme2 fills | January 23 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,527 | +$52 +1.5% | 4 |
| 281d |  Newsance | January 16 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,798 | +$307 +3.1% | 4 |
| 281d | Newshound | January 16 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,088 | +$57 +5.3% | 4 |
Malenkiykristi338 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize an oil tanker, or any other ship that is actively transporting oil, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors. Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for January 16 means the market gives it about 100%.