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Polymarket wallet 0x1aa4fd40b8c31fb2b8cb9baf7d4347414b0f6795 · on Polymarket since Oct 21, 2025 · also shown as Fearful-Earthworm
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $300 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 248 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $248 | +$7 +3.1% |
| Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 89¢ → 100¢ | $200 | +$22 +12% |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 55 | 73¢ → 100¢ | $55 | +$15 +37% |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,140 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Paramount acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 15 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.