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Polymarket wallet 0x1c4ed62074ebf77fa9f93ed4976834d82e42cf0c · on Polymarket since Jan 14, 2025 · also shown as Firsthand-Portrait
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada election called before April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 60¢ → 100¢ | $33 | +$13 +67% |
| Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 82¢ → 100¢ | $7 | +$1 +22% |
| Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 98 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 87 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 645d | Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party? | BuyYes82¢ | $6 |
| 645d | Canada election called before April? | BuyYes60¢ | $20 |
| 645d | Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 19? | BuyYes2¢ | $2 |
| 645d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $2 |
| 645d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $2 |
| 645d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting? | BuyYes25¢ | $5 |
| 646d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting? | BuyYes3¢ | $3 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.