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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Carney | 100% | +2 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chrystia Freeland | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dominic LeBlanc | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mélanie Joly | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Anita Anand | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Francois-Philippe Champagne | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sean Fraser | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jaime Battiste | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Karina Gould | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ruby Dhalla | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Frank Baylis | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 593d | Mark Carney | SellYes>99¢ | $21,244 | −$21 −0.1% | — | |
| 593d | cheezeits | Mark Carney | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 593d | SaylorMoon | Chrystia Freeland | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,086 | +$14 +0.2% | 4 |
| 593d | cigarettes2 fills | Chrystia Freeland | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,534 | +$37 +1.1% | 4 |
| 593d | SaylorMoon2 fills | Mark Carney | BuyYes>99¢ | $34,975 | +$81 +0.2% | 4 |
| 593d | SaylorMoon | Frank Baylis | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,078 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 593d | Mark Carney | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,360 | +$103 +1.6% | 4 | |
| 593d | Karina Gould | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,283 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 593d | Frank Baylis | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,642 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 593d | Karina Gould | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,383 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 593d | 0xe639e41094bbeae18g3e6d1790c17299183f082a4 fills | Mark Carney | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $6,609 | +$379 +5.7% | 4 |
| 593d | Mark Carney | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,269 | +$106 +2.5% | 4 | |
| 594d | cigarettes9 fills | Frank Baylis | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,264 | +$23 +0.1% | 4 |
| 594d | affs207914 fills | Mark Carney | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $10,203 | +$400 +3.9% | 4 |
| 594d | dmz2 fills | Mark Carney | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,580 | +$158 +3.4% | 4 |
| 595d | 4541f5ds | Karina Gould | SellNo>99¢ | $1,024 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 595d | 4541f5ds | Karina Gould | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,026 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 596d | liyouaaa | Karina Gould | SellNo>99¢ | $1,828 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 596d | liyouaaa | Karina Gould | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,830 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 596d | Mark Carney | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,082 | −$206 −5.1% | — | |
| 597d | Kulinger42 | Karina Gould | SellNo>99¢ | $6,749 | −$14 −0.2% | — |
| 597d | Kulinger42 | Karina Gould | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,756 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 597d | TexMexTRex2 fills | Mark Carney | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $9,623 | −$406 −4.2% | — |
| 598d | mihai673 | Mark Carney | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | −$36 −3.4% | — |
| 599d | Frodo3 | Ruby Dhalla | SellNo>99¢ | $4,725 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 599d | Frodo3 | Ruby Dhalla | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,730 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 599d | testinprod | Mark Carney | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,328 | −$45 −3.4% | — |
| 599d | dsddf2 fills | Ruby Dhalla | SellNo>99¢ | $2,009 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 599d | dsddf2 fills | Ruby Dhalla | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,011 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 599d | kjytfr3 fills | Ruby Dhalla | SellNo>99¢ | $3,770 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 599d | kjytfr3 fills | Ruby Dhalla | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,774 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 599d | lidbbs | Ruby Dhalla | SellNo>99¢ | $1,009 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 599d | lidbbs | Ruby Dhalla | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,010 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 599d | Actual-Boot | Dominic LeBlanc | SellNo>99¢ | $1,319 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 599d | Actual-Boot | Dominic LeBlanc | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,320 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 599d | Sniveling-Monastery3 fills | Ruby Dhalla | SellNo>99¢ | $3,514 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 599d | Sniveling-Monastery3 fills | Ruby Dhalla | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,518 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 599d | qazxcvbnm | Karina Gould | SellNo>99¢ | $1,048 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 599d | qazxcvbnm | Karina Gould | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,050 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 599d | ghjcvr2 fills | Frank Baylis | SellNo>99¢ | $2,647 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 599d | ghjcvr2 fills | Frank Baylis | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,650 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 599d | qwerzasd | Chrystia Freeland | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,051 | −$24 −2.3% | — |
| 599d | qwerzasd | Chrystia Freeland | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$21 +2.0% | 4 |
| 600d | TexMexTRex2 fills | Mark Carney | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $17,256 | +$757 +4.4% | 4 |
| 600d | cigarettes8 fills | Karina Gould | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,528 | +$20 +0.1% | 4 |
| 600d | cigarettes7 fills | Ruby Dhalla | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,489 | +$21 +0.2% | 4 |
| 602d | saveenergy4 fills | Sean Fraser | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,955 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 602d | timeclose4 fills | Sean Fraser | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,955 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 602d | ratmans4 fills | Sean Fraser | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,962 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 602d | horsemans4 fills | Sean Fraser | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,962 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 602d | basilisk5 fills | Sean Fraser | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,081 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 602d | bisilask5 fills | Sean Fraser | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,081 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 602d | twelvety5 fills | Sean Fraser | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,081 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 602d | highqual5 fills | Sean Fraser | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,081 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 602d | Thalvior | Karina Gould | BuyNo>99¢ | $60,806 | +$183 +0.3% | 4 |
| 602d | stokv8 fills | Sean Fraser | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,129 | +$16 +0.1% | 4 |
| 602d | dorio8 fills | Sean Fraser | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,129 | +$16 +0.1% | 4 |
| 602d | reservato5 fills | Sean Fraser | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,081 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 602d | buzzyes5 fills | Sean Fraser | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,081 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 602d | 1mperator17 | Mark Carney | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,994 | −$92 −4.6% | — |
This is a market on predicting the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Mark Carney means the market gives it about 100%.