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Polymarket wallet 0x1dbb4454b81f610b970d47a47e289c61bc513400 · on Polymarket since Jan 8, 2025 · also shown as Shimmering-Rhetoric
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,552 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Russian strike on Poland by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19,922 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,311 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,076 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 919 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 408d | Russian strike on Poland by September 30? | BuyYes7¢ | $1,311 |
| 408d | Will Russia capture Sumy before October? | SellNo99¢ | $1,311 |
| 488d | Will Russia capture Sumy before October? | BuyNo92¢ | $1,221 |
| 488d | NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025? | BuyYes6¢ | $100 |
| 488d | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31? | BuyNo50¢ | $500 |
| 488d | Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31? | BuyNo54¢ | $500 |
| 488d | Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31? | BuyNo46¢ | $500 |
| 620d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BuyNo75¢ | $984 |
| 653d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BuyNo72¢ | $1,000 |
| 653d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BuyNo72¢ | $86 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.