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Polymarket wallet 0x1f793ee35163303ebab2c6ee991790cda940757b · on Polymarket since Oct 8, 2024 · also shown as Thick-Moccasins
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate control after 2024 election?Settled - ready to redeem | Republicans | 21 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $21 | +$1 +4.2% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 62¢ → 100¢ | $19 | +$7 +61% |
| Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 85¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +18% |
| Trump wins every swing state?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 65 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,101 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$117 −100% |
| Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 61 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 287 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 717d | Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election? | BuyNo6¢ | $30 |
| 717d | Trump wins every swing state? | BuyNo23¢ | $15 |
| 717d | Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? | BuyNo10¢ | $30 |
| 717d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes8¢ | $10 |
| 717d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes8¢ | $65 |
| 717d | Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election? | BuyYes63¢ | $15 |
| 717d | Senate control after 2024 election? | BuyRepublicans96¢ | $20 |
| 717d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes62¢ | $12 |
| 717d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes42¢ | $42 |
| 745d | Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states? | BuyNo85¢ | $3 |
| 745d | Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states? | BuyYes16¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.