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Polymarket wallet 0x204512bb676f754d90915f75592a82446927cbe4 · on Polymarket since Feb 4, 2025 · also shown as Incredible-Failure
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,005 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$54 −100% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his February 4 press conference with Netanyahu?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 128 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 108 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 214 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$180 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 100 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 115d | Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | BuyYes<1¢ | $6 |
| 115d | Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | BuyYes74¢ | $49 |
| 119d | Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | BuyYes47¢ | $52 |
| 122d | Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? | BuyYes6¢ | $15 |
| 122d | Will England win on 2026-06-23? | BuyYes84¢ | $181 |
| 122d | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | SellYes>99¢ | $190 |
| 122d | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | BuyYes84¢ | $161 |
| 439d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7PM ET | BuyUp36¢ | $36 |
| 441d | Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday? | BuyYes48¢ | $5 |
| 441d | Will Ethereum reach $4000 August 4–10? | SellYes>99¢ | $41 |
| 442d | Will Ethereum reach $4000 August 4–10? | BuyYes50¢ | $21 |
| 442d | Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday? | SellYes45¢ | $20 |
| 442d | Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday? | BuyYes83¢ | $38 |
| 625d | Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his February 4 press conference with Netanyahu? | BuyYes8¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.