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Polymarket wallet 0x216fb4bbddd66c994880c698f2978da5896ce38a · on Polymarket since Sep 30, 2025 · also shown as Cavernous-Escalator
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 63 | 79¢ → 100¢ | $63 | +$13 +27% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 356d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo79¢ | $50 |
| 362d | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | BuyYes95¢ | $20 |
| 369d | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | BuyYes78¢ | $1 |
| 386d | Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET | BuyDown68¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.