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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206d | v131v | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,268 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 207d |  ElvenWisp | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,745 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 207d | smartrandom | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,008 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 207d |  degensruletheworld | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,559 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 207d | KamAlla | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $9,494 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 207d |  Blue-moon | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $7,740 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 207d | montebet | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,912 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 207d |  DaytonaOne24 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $303,553 | −$4,689 −1.5% | — |
| 207d | tir123424 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $278,890 | −$5,097 −1.8% | — |
| 207d | justme0034 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $10,154 | −$46 −0.5% | — |
| 207d | TerreMoto3 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $19,980 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 207d |  How.Dare.You16 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $194,699 | −$2,093 −1.1% | — |
| 207d | Mike61 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 207d |  Zaratustra | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 207d | Iadrb2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $79,993 | −$2,808 −3.5% | — |
| 208d | wudi888 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,856 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 208d | KamAlla2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,510 | +$29 +0.2% | 20 |
| 208d | JosephTrump | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,800 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 208d | Zaratustra2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $24,985 | +$25 +0.1% | 20 |
| 208d | 137N | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,731 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 208d | Filllick | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,975 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | ddAnon | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | whaleee | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $12,537 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 208d | sosoks | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,593 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 208d | taijiage | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,990 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 208d | Accelerator1005 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,004 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 208d | geeco | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,655 | −$10 −0.4% | — |
| 208d | mmmmmmll | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,402 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 208d | TomOk1111 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 209d | OLOTH5 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $29,658 | +$64 +0.2% | 20 |
| 209d | bearbees2 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,019 | +$9 +0.3% | 20 |
| 209d | fastviking4 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $107,899 | −$1,400 −1.3% | — |
| 209d | aelrinn | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,171 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 209d | AlanaKeller | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,002 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 209d | AlanaKeller | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,002 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 209d | AngelLozano | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,165 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 209d | ToyMartinez | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,116 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 209d | AddilynHarris | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,141 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 209d | JerryLambert | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,097 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 209d | KennedyFigueroa | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,147 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 209d | AdelaideJohnson | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,184 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 209d | MilaniFerguson | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,060 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 209d | KaedynEdwards | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,098 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 209d | CameranVega | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,148 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 209d | TitanRyan | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,007 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 209d | LeoElliott | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,037 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 209d | OakleeHernandez | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,021 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 209d | BraylonCrane | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,028 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 209d | RheaMathis | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,014 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 209d | AllenSnyder | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,019 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 209d | KylinGonzales | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,113 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 209d | BlakeBrown | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,093 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 209d | MeredithLugo | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,147 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 209d | QuincyWest | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,147 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 209d | rocks2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $39,840 | −$160 −0.4% | — |
| 209d | wtfamdoinghere | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,036 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 209d |  BloodyMummer | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,196 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 210d | dendenm | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,825 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 210d | 54824245 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,010 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 210d | Abdoulay2 fills | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,197 | +$16 +0.2% | 20 |
25usdc2,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward. Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.
