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Polymarket wallet 0x21820ed5dfb2a9ec0d13a3ab1768c4cc9f6b897f · on Polymarket since Feb 16, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 76 | 59¢ → 100¢ | $76 | +$31 +69% |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 62 | 81¢ → 97¢ | $60 | +$10 +19% |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Ends in 127d | No | 38 | 53¢ → 88¢ | $33 | +$13 +66% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 128d | Yes | 33 | 30¢ → 85¢ | $28 | +$18 +183% |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 22 | 23¢ → 57¢ | $12 | +$7 +148% |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 137 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 200d | US military draft authorized in 2026? | BuyNo81¢ | $50 |
| 202d | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BuyYes30¢ | $10 |
| 202d | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BuyNo24¢ | $33 |
| 250d | Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? | BuyYes59¢ | $45 |
| 250d | Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BuyYes23¢ | $5 |
| 250d | Natural Disaster in 2026? | BuyNo53¢ | $20 |
| 250d | Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28? | BuyNo61¢ | $20 |
| 250d | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22? | BuyYes30¢ | $10 |
| 250d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BuyYes60¢ | $16 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.