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Polymarket wallet 0x23e4211e9b866b6c81c4a8ed9dfe8643954e86ca · on Polymarket since Jul 21, 2024 · also shown as Cheap-Gunpowder
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Biden say "Resign" during drop out speech?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 501 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 752 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2024 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,083 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,538 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 765d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting? | SellYes>99¢ | $500 |
| 765d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting? | SellYes47¢ | $224 |
| 784d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting? | BuyYes21¢ | $205 |
| 784d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting? | SellNo79¢ | $205 |
| 785d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting? | BuyNo79¢ | $205 |
| 815d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2024 meeting? | BuyYes5¢ | $100 |
| 821d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | SellYes32¢ | $284 |
| 821d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes33¢ | $300 |
| 821d | Will Biden say "Resign" during drop out speech? | BuyYes30¢ | $150 |
| 821d | Will Biden announce resignation by July 31? | BuyYes13¢ | $100 |
| 824d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | BuyNo20¢ | $500 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.