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Polymarket wallet 0x244cd0001c16b41bdc7ca3506a10d7f7da47a4cc · on Polymarket since May 8, 2025 · also shown as Mellow-Temple
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 151 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on December 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 16 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on December 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 7 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on December 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 7 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on December 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 11 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 13 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.