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Polymarket wallet 0x245cc87462250d0a44762ec517aba53a02769008 · on Polymarket since Jan 9, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICE shooter charged by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 63¢ → 100¢ | $8 | +$3 +59% |
| X banned in U.K. by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +9.9% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $1 | +$0 +14% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 19 | 53¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$9 −90% |
| Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 28 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 285d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BuyYes53¢ | $10 |
| 286d | Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 5-11? | SellYes6¢ | $1 |
| 286d | Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16? | BuyYes5¢ | $1 |
| 286d | Israel strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ | $5 |
| 286d | Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31? | BuyNo91¢ | $5 |
| 286d | Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ | $5 |
| 286d | Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo84¢ | $1 |
| 286d | Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 5-11? | BuyYes5¢ | $1 |
| 286d | Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31? | BuyYes35¢ | $5 |
| 286d | Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31? | BuyYes18¢ | $5 |
| 286d | Will the US strike Somalia next? | SellNo>99¢ | $14 |
| 287d | X banned in U.K. by March 31? | BuyNo91¢ | $5 |
| 287d | Will the US strike Somalia next? | BuyNo36¢ | $5 |
| 287d | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ | $5 |
| 287d | ICE shooter charged by March 31? | BuyNo63¢ | $5 |
| 287d | US strike on Mexico by January 31? | BuyNo94¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.