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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 51¢ → 50¢ | $8 | −$0 −2.0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 109 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 200d | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BuyYes5¢ | $5 |
| 205d | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
| 237d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $51 |
| 276d | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BuyNo51¢ | $8 |
| 282d | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026? | BuyYes25¢ | $2 |
| 282d | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026? | BuyYes25¢ | $2 |
| 283d | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 283d | Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | SellNo77¢ | $13 |
| 284d | Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility? | BuyYes29¢ | $1 |
| 284d | Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BuyNo87¢ | $15 |
| 285d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes39¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.