| US bank failure by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 173 | 70¢ → 62¢ | $107 | −$14 −11% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 128d | Yes | 255 | 49¢ → 37¢ | $93 | −$32 −26% |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $168 in October?Ends in 8d | Yes | 167 | 69¢ → 52¢ | $86 | −$29 −25% |
| Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 89d | Yes | 446 | 28¢ → 19¢ | $85 | −$40 −32% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 290,000 and 305,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 266 | 47¢ → 31¢ | $81 | −$44 −35% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 167 | 58¢ → 47¢ | $79 | −$18 −19% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?Ends in 2d | Yes | 120 | 83¢ → 65¢ | $78 | −$22 −22% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | Yes | 278 | 36¢ → 28¢ | $76 | −$24 −24% |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on October 25?Ends in 19h | Yes | 248 | 37¢ → 31¢ | $76 | −$16 −18% |
| Will Manuel Neuer (Bayern Munich) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?Ends in 234d | Yes | 481 | 26¢ → 16¢ | $75 | −$50 −40% |
| Will Barcelona score the most goals in the UCL league phase?Ends in 127d | Yes | 273 | 45¢ → 27¢ | $74 | −$49 −40% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 37d | Yes | 157 | 64¢ → 47¢ | $73 | −$27 −27% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?Ends in 23d | Yes | 180 | 46¢ → 40¢ | $71 | −$12 −14% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 357 | 28¢ → 19¢ | $68 | −$32 −32% |
| Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?Ends in 19h | Yes | 313 | 32¢ → 19¢ | $59 | −$41 −41% |
| Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 434 | 23¢ → 14¢ | $59 | −$41 −41% |
| Will XRP hit $2 by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 137 | 73¢ → 42¢ | $58 | −$42 −42% |
| Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Ends in 647d | Yes | 500 | 20¢ → 11¢ | $55 | −$45 −45% |
| Manchester City punishment announced by December 18?Ends in 56d | Yes | 250 | 40¢ → 22¢ | $54 | −$46 −46% |
| Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 517 | 15¢ → 10¢ | $52 | −$26 −33% |
| Will Moonshot AI be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 303 | 33¢ → 17¢ | $50 | −$50 −50% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada be between 1,125,000 and 1,200,000?Ends in 11d | Yes | 305 | 41¢ → 16¢ | $47 | −$76 −62% |
| Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 69d | Yes | 476 | 21¢ → 10¢ | $45 | −$55 −55% |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 217 | 46¢ → 20¢ | $42 | −$58 −58% |
| Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Ends in 647d | Yes | 588 | 17¢ → 7¢ | $41 | −$59 −59% |
| Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?Ends in 10d | Yes | 893 | 14¢ → 5¢ | $41 | −$84 −68% |
| Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 714 | 14¢ → 5¢ | $37 | −$63 −63% |
| Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 335 | 27¢ → 11¢ | $37 | −$54 −59% |
| Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 435 | 23¢ → 8¢ | $35 | −$65 −65% |
| Will Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?Ends in 11d | Yes | 130 | 64¢ → 27¢ | $35 | −$49 −59% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Ends in 159d | Yes | 778 | 18¢ → 4¢ | $28 | −$112 −80% |
| SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 150 | 40¢ → 18¢ | $27 | −$33 −55% |
| Will "The Man That I Wave At" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 142d | Yes | 385 | 26¢ → 7¢ | $27 | −$73 −73% |
| Will Swapped be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?Ends in 159d | Yes | 1,077 | 13¢ → 2¢ | $25 | −$115 −82% |
| Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 31 | 77¢ → 78¢ | $25 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will Coinbase be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?Ends in 434d | Yes | 185 | 54¢ → 13¢ | $23 | −$77 −77% |
| Will Geoffrey Pyatt be the next US Ambassador to Greece?Ends in 818d | Yes | 450 | 17¢ → 5¢ | $22 | −$54 −71% |
| Will Cyril Xaba be the next mayor of eThekwini?Ends in 12d | Yes | 588 | 17¢ → 4¢ | $22 | −$78 −78% |
| Will the IEA ask Germany to release oil stocks by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 192 | 52¢ → 11¢ | $20 | −$80 −80% |
| Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?Ends in 46d | Yes | 526 | 19¢ → 4¢ | $20 | −$80 −80% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 65 | 30¢ → 23¢ | $15 | −$5 −23% |
| Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?Ends in 434d | Yes | 239 | 40¢ → 6¢ | $14 | −$81 −85% |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30?Ends in 39d | Yes | 403 | 31¢ → 3¢ | $12 | −$113 −90% |
| Will Nkosindiphile Xhakaza be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?Ends in 12d | Yes | 244 | 41¢ → 5¢ | $12 | −$88 −88% |
| Will Yakubu Adamu win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?Ends in 106d | Yes | 54 | 41¢ → 21¢ | $11 | −$11 −49% |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 428 | 29¢ → 3¢ | $11 | −$113 −91% |
| Will Meccha Chameleon win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 47d | Yes | 556 | 18¢ → 2¢ | $9 | −$91 −91% |
| Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 98?Ends in 68d | Yes | 60 | 19¢ → 14¢ | $9 | −$3 −24% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?Ends in 8d | Yes | 25 | 45¢ → 24¢ | $6 | −$5 −47% |
| Will Keisha Lance Bottoms run 3 to 6 points behind Jon Ossoff?Ends in 11d | Yes | 15 | 38¢ → 35¢ | $5 | −$1 −9.2% |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 20 | 40¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$7 −86% |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 28, 2026?Ends in 4d | Yes | 173 | 21¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$35 −97% |
| Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 417 | 24¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$99 −99% |
| Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 177 | 14¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$24 −97% |
| Will there be between 60 and 89 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?Ends in 18d | Yes | 41 | 36¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$14 −97% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 7d | Yes | 4 | 39¢ → 6¢ | $0 | −$1 −86% |
| Will Arsenal finish as runner-up in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Ends in 238d | Yes | 1 | 20¢ → 16¢ | $0 | −$0 −23% |
| Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Fire?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 625 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 35 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 244 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 119 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageSettled - ready to redeem | Invictus Gaming | 69 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 320 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$58 −100% |
| Will Linke win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 546 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$82 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on September 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 344 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$134 −100% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group StageSettled - ready to redeem | Top Esports | 42 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Spurs vs. KnicksSettled - ready to redeem | Spurs | 3 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Linke win between 12% and 15% of all valid second votes?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 107 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 429 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$94 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on September 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 155 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$96 −100% |
| Will Chico Rodrigues win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 455 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 483 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$140 −100% |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 118 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Ronnie Murchinson-Rivera be the FL-06 Democratic nominee?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 95 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 61 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Kai or Speed die to a Warden?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 116 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 250k?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 226 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$140 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 45 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 323 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 213 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
