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Polymarket wallet 0x282f528410a149509e612fb37425869d991a55aa · on Polymarket since Jan 21, 2026 · also shown as Bite-Sized-Landing
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 24¢ → 100¢ | $42 | +$32 +317% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32 | 31¢ → 100¢ | $32 | +$22 +223% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 30 | 33¢ → 15¢ | $5 | −$5 −55% |
| Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 102 | 5¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$5 −92% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 24 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 71 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 965 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 27 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.