SigridPartridge

Polymarket wallet 0x2a08ba68106ce9d7bc1d074518c987640a75a306 · on Polymarket since Nov 13, 2025 · also shown as Instructive-Whelp

Open on Polymarket ↗@ManinsanoE50332 ↗

Positions now worth: $4.24
All-time profit: +$222
Volume traded: $89.6K
All-time rank: #163,379
Markets traded: 161
Recent hit rate: 92%46 of last 50 closed

Open positions

74 markets · $4.24

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	88¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +14%
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	96¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +4.2%
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 6?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	97¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +3.1%
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 26?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	97¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +2.7%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 23?Settled - ready to redeem	No	14	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	No	9	21¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
282d	Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?	BuyNo88¢	$1
286d	US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?	BuyNo96¢	$1
293d	Another US strike on Venezuela on January 6?	BuyNo97¢	$1
302d	Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 26?	BuyNo97¢	$1
313d	Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?	BuyNo>99¢	$1
317d	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?	BuyYes90¢	$1
318d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$2
318d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$15
318d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$10
318d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$11
318d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$14
318d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$13
318d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$12
318d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$10
318d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$912
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$16
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$66
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$234
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$20
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$164
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$109
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$142
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$5
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$245
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$124
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$126
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$42
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$208
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$41
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$209
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$15
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$3
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$232
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
319d	Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
320d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
320d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
320d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
320d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
320d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
320d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
320d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.