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Polymarket wallet 0x2adb5bc735591039d7c3eb518670e663920fa5b4 · on Polymarket since May 7, 2025 · also shown as Unfinished-Defendant
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 610 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 71 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 404 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 101 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 233d | Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7? | BuyYes16¢ | $10 |
| 233d | Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7? | BuyYes16¢ | $10 |
| 233d | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5? | BuyYes14¢ | $10 |
| 233d | Will Iran strike Israel on March 4? | SellYes1¢ | $61 |
| 234d | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | BuyYes10¢ | $10 |
| 234d | Will Iran strike Israel on March 4? | BuyYes2¢ | $100 |
| 234d | US forces enter Iran by March 7? | BuyYes7¢ | $21 |
| 234d | US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7? | BuyYes14¢ | $30 |
| 234d | US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7? | BuyYes12¢ | $50 |
| 239d | US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026? | BuyYes39¢ | $121 |
| 239d | US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026? | SellYes32¢ | $121 |
| 239d | US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026? | BuyYes33¢ | $124 |
| 239d | US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? | SellYes31¢ | $33 |
| 239d | US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? | SellYes31¢ | $91 |
| 239d | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $9 |
| 239d | US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? | BuyYes25¢ | $100 |
| 239d | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.