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Polymarket wallet 0x2be5798d895825dfd3e5d1a5be31e49e0e88f79f · on Polymarket since Mar 1, 2026 · also shown as United-Stake
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $300 | +$11 +3.8% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $200 | +$9 +4.8% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 231d | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BuyYes64¢ | $12 |
| 231d | Xi Jinping out by June 30? | BuyNo96¢ | $289 |
| 231d | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyYes95¢ | $190 |
| 231d | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ | $191 |
| 231d | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SellYes85¢ | $213 |
| 232d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SellYes84¢ | $140 |
| 238d | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BuyYes80¢ | $200 |
| 240d | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | SellNo>99¢ | $533 |
| 280d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BuyYes60¢ | $100 |
| 281d | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | BuyNo75¢ | $400 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.