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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 42 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 351 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 219d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1PM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $50 |
| 220d | Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 10AM ET | SellDown5¢ | $24 |
| 220d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $10 |
| 220d | Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 10AM ET | BuyDown2¢ | $10 |
| 220d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | BuyDown<1¢ | $10 |
| 222d | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $10 |
| 222d | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BuyYes4¢ | $13 |
| 222d | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BuyNo36¢ | $15 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.