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Polymarket wallet 0x2f8d5d00ceee1928964c49e3be6c3985a84e09d4 · on Polymarket since Dec 29, 2025 · also shown as Excitable-Standardisation
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 471 | 17¢ → 100¢ | $471 | +$391 +488% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 275 | 36¢ → 100¢ | $275 | +$176 +178% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,500 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$70 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 238d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BuyYes36¢ | $99 |
| 238d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes17¢ | $80 |
| 238d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $70 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.