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Polymarket wallet 0x315a8942d1574ea40a5598a648bf8ab95d3fac61 · on Polymarket since Aug 28, 2026 · also shown as Numb-House
Europe will face darkness.
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5,581 | 27¢ → 19¢ | $1,033 | −$467 −31% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 10,388 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $467 | −$333 −42% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 1,212 | 15¢ → 2¢ | $28 | −$152 −85% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34d | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BuyYes16¢ | $100 |
| 35d | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes30¢ | $500 |
| 39d | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BuyYes14¢ | $80 |
| 39d | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes7¢ | $100 |
| 39d | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes27¢ | $300 |
| 52d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BuyUp6¢ | $107 |
| 52d | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes25¢ | $700 |
| 57d | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes8¢ | $100 |
| 57d | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes8¢ | $600 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.