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Polymarket wallet 0x315bb0ec2cf532d8299e9a8c3a79b146f30820c4 · on Polymarket since Jan 29, 2026 · also shown as Lumbering-Subsection
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 98 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,340 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31d | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026? | BuyNo21¢ | $516 |
| 49d | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | SellNo86¢ | $815 |
| 50d | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | BuyNo18¢ | $173 |
| 210d | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellYes14¢ | $75 |
| 228d | Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 15? | BuyYes12¢ | $5 |
| 231d | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyYes9¢ | $50 |
| 232d | Will France strike Iran by March 31? | SellYes12¢ | $33 |
| 233d | Will France strike Iran by March 31? | BuyYes18¢ | $50 |
| 235d | Will France strike Iran by March 31? | SellYes18¢ | $4 |
| 235d | Will France strike Iran by March 31? | BuyYes20¢ | $4 |
| 236d | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BuyYes51¢ | $50 |
| 237d | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | SellYes80¢ | $51 |
| 237d | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BuyYes78¢ | $50 |
| 241d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes21¢ | $46 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.