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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | +2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205d | AlanYagami-T | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,534 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | Godblessmetowin2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,241 | −$21 −0.9% | — |
| 205d |  bamesjond4 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,432 | −$173 −1.2% | — |
| 205d | breeze158 | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,632 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 205d | liangzaizw3 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $58,060 | +$79 +0.1% | 20 |
| 205d |  JJo3 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $23,392 | +$689 +2.9% | 21 |
| 205d |  wish-2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,192 | +$103 +3.2% | 21 |
| 206d |  Chucklehuck | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,491 | −$9 −0.6% | — |
| 206d |  classified7 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $20,857 | −$2,565 −12% | — |
| 206d |  Domino20263 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,508 | +$79 +0.6% | 20 |
| 206d |  ULYSSES18 | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,021 | +$18 +0.9% | 20 |
| 206d | classified6 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $17,489 | +$1,443 +8.3% | 20 |
| 206d | hollyber2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $20,238 | +$204 +1.0% | 20 |
| 206d | wnsmcrypto | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,440 | −$22 −0.9% | — |
| 206d | Eatpraylove2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,042 | +$149 +1.8% | 20 |
| 206d | jeffy334 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $124,876 | +$8,121 +6.5% | 20 |
| 206d |  ScottyNooo3 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,098 | +$470 +5.8% | 20 |
| 206d | Godblessmetowin2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,076 | +$156 +7.5% | 20 |
| 206d |  Car2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $8,152 | −$1,070 −13% | — |
| 207d | LiLaoShi23 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $37,943 | −$4,419 −12% | — |
| 207d |  Flipadelphia | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,923 | +$215 +3.6% | 21 |
| 207d | bluby2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $18,958 | −$1,384 −7.3% | — |
| 207d | 881112 | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,608 | −$118 −2.6% | — |
| 207d |  66601 | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | −$43 −3.9% | — |
| 207d | Slim-Intensity | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyYes8¢ → 0¢ | $2,244 | −$2,244 −100% | 34 |
| 208d |  MakingTheMarket7 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $13,103 | −$1,333 −10% | — |
| 208d | infinitevanilla | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,670 | −$352 −13% | — |
| 208d | Car6 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $20,088 | +$2,991 +15% | 20 |
| 208d |  debased2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,203 | +$483 +12% | 22 |
| 208d | Laurenman | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $1,237 | −$297 −24% | — |
| 208d | XVFlow | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyYes7¢ → 0¢ | $2,050 | −$2,050 −100% | 30 |
| 208d | 0xe30b…114e | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,201 | +$67 +5.6% | 21 |
| 208d | Essential-Interchange3 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $10,389 | −$860 −8.3% | — |
| 208d |  paddaa5 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $7,173 | −$803 −11% | — |
| 208d | Dapper-Grandfather | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,423 | −$97 −6.8% | — |
| 208d | ted89 | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,950 | −$136 −4.6% | — |
| 208d | Chucklehuck | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,447 | +$53 +3.7% | 21 |
| 208d | paddaa2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$400 +10.0% | 20 |
| 208d | Dapper-Grandfather | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,451 | +$69 +4.8% | 21 |
| 208d | blunderbot | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,249 | −$68 −5.5% | — |
| 208d | Saltyballs | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,514 | −$80 −5.3% | — |
| 209d | LiLaoShi23 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $37,186 | +$5,177 +14% | 20 |
| 209d | george6688 | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,218 | −$112 −9.2% | — |
| 209d |  yungstalin | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyYes7¢ → 0¢ | $1,140 | −$1,140 −100% | 26 |
| 209d |  MisTKy24 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $108,917 | −$18,373 −17% | — |
| 209d |  Dapsy | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,851 | −$139 −7.5% | — |
| 209d |  strider- | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $9,540 | −$460 −4.8% | — |
| 209d | Underdarkus | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | −$56 −5.3% | — |
| 209d | Dangerous-Mayo | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,364 | −$95 −7.0% | — |
| 209d | Short-Term-MammothNew account | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$612 +6.1% | 23 |
| 209d | 0x487d987875f552189 | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | −$83 −7.3% | — |
| 209d | MisTKy24 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $147,631 | +$21,853 +15% | 20 |
| 209d | boatswain-m | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $12,609 | +$1,403 +11% | 22 |
| 209d | tkenmn | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,841 | −$213 −12% | — |
| 210d |  AishahSofey | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,850 | +$345 +12% | 21 |
| 210d | bluby3 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $17,871 | +$2,472 +14% | 20 |
| 210d | Complex-Warming | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyYes12¢ → 0¢ | $1,251 | −$1,251 −100% | 24 |
| 210d | vivan009 | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,596 | −$354 −14% | — |
| 210d | MakingTheMarket | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SellYes8¢ → 0¢ | $1,377 | +$1,377 +100% | — |
| 210d | Dangerous-Mayo | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$159 +12% | 21 |
GeorgeFloydtheBreathless45,229 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.