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Polymarket wallet 0x334eb4e69dee608898890ffe7cd9094e78b5708c · on Polymarket since Jan 3, 2026 · also shown as Unnatural-Factor
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US government shutdown Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 66 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9,167 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$55 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-109 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 379 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-99 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,680 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Stranger Things: Season 5 have more than 75 million views the week of the finale?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,256 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$195 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 110-119 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 282 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,022 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$180 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 13 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.