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Polymarket wallet 0x33c3ae038ee04dc44af919927e6cdc646277379a · on Polymarket since Feb 9, 2026 · also shown as Shady-Grouse
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 23 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,813 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$58 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 293 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,486 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50,660 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$778 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 143 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,518 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$160 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.