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Polymarket wallet 0x3430dedec6e735d3fe361904d7b5b877927e4942 · on Polymarket since Sep 17, 2025 · also shown as Happy-Go-Lucky-Bathtub
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "King" or "Queen" 4+ times during the UK state banquet on September 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 96 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 138 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 147 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| RFK Jr. Out by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 506 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Trump out as President by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,474 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 35 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 43 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 48 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.