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Polymarket wallet 0x3454bcbf8ac966a93a9251739b29866d21846b74 · on Polymarket since Nov 5, 2024 · also shown as Silly-Apology
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on May 23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 130 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$83 −100% |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 336 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 87 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 257 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 523d | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on May 23? | BuyNo64¢ | $83 |
| 531d | US recession in 2025? | SellYes50¢ | $31 |
| 532d | US recession in 2025? | BuyYes52¢ | $32 |
| 542d | Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election? | BuyYes46¢ | $40 |
| 716d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | SellYes99¢ | $794 |
| 716d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | SellYes99¢ | $10 |
| 716d | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BuyYes10¢ | $20 |
| 716d | 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House | SellNo42¢ | $131 |
| 717d | Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state? | BuyNo73¢ | $10 |
| 717d | Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state? | BuyNo78¢ | $190 |
| 717d | 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House | BuyNo64¢ | $200 |
| 717d | Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | BuyYes72¢ | $100 |
| 717d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes62¢ | $500 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.