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Polymarket wallet 0x34c0c3c6d196493979b82a98f40c5372af933200 · on Polymarket since Jan 29, 2026 · also shown as Paltry-Fox
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 79¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$1 +27% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 208d | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ | $4 |
| 208d | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ | $5 |
| 208d | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31? | BuyNo97¢ | $4 |
| 208d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BuyDown78¢ | $3 |
| 256d | Will Robinhood say "Billion" 10+ times during earnings call? | BuyYes92¢ | $6 |
| 256d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 10? | BuyYes94¢ | $7 |
| 256d | Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump? | BuyNo95¢ | $6 |
| 266d | Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)? | BuyNo94¢ | $6 |
| 266d | Will New York Times Company (NYT) beat quarterly earnings? | BuyYes89¢ | $6 |
| 266d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo94¢ | $4 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.