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Polymarket wallet 0x34f6c479fb7403ff4bdba9c92ba4a2d9b71e66dc · on Polymarket since Oct 10, 2026 · also shown as Absolute-Error-Exile
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 102 | 42¢ → 50¢ | $51 | +$8 +19% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 11d | Yes | 7 | 71¢ → 72¢ | $5 | +$0 +1.4% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 6 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $5 | −$0 −1.7% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 2 | 42¢ → 50¢ | $1 | +$0 +18% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 4 | 30¢ → 11¢ | $0 | −$1 −65% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BuyYes71¢ | $5 |
| 2d | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BuyNo86¢ | $5 |
| 7d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BuyYes30¢ | $1 |
| 8d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $5 |
| 8d | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SellYes47¢ | $2 |
| 10d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BuyYes42¢ | $1 |
| 10d | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SellYes48¢ | $5 |
| 13d | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BuyYes42¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.