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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gadi Eizenkot | 52% | +2 pts | −1 pts | 52¢ · 52¢ (<1¢) | $41.8K | in 4d |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 28% | −2 pts | — | 27¢ · 28¢ (1¢) | $221K | in 4d |
| Naftali Bennett | 14% | −1 pts | +3 pts | 14¢ · 15¢ (1¢) | $17.7K | in 4d |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 2% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $12.6K | in 4d |
| Moshe Feiglin | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $25.1K | in 4d |
| Israel Katz | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $16.2K | in 4d |
| Yossi Cohen | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $11.4K | in 4d |
| Yair Golan | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $11.1K | in 4d |
| Itamar Ben Gvir | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $9.81K | in 4d |
| Amir Ohana | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $27K | in 4d |
| Ofer Winter | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $1.46K | in 4d |
| Yair Lapid | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | $7.5K | in 4d |
| Benny Gantz | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $1.92K | in 4d |
| Gideon Sa’ar | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $545 | in 4d |
| Yariv Levin | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $6.93K | in 4d |
| Ayelet Shaked | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $928 | in 4d |
| Yoaz Hendel | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $500 | in 4d |
| Nir Barkat | <1% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $1.08K | in 4d |
| Gilad Erdan | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $2.62K | in 4d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed13 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo71¢ → 73¢ | $18,386 | +$450 +2.4% | 16 |
| 6h | mazan | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo74¢ → 73¢ | $16,280 | −$330 −2.0% | 17 |
| 8h | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo71¢ → 73¢ | $6,471 | +$176 +2.7% | 12 | |
| 8h | 18in36out | Moshe Feiglin | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,792 | −$1 −0.1% | 10 |
| 9h | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo73¢ | $1,606 | −$11 −0.7% | 12 | |
| 10h | suntori | Naftali Bennett | SellNo84¢ → 86¢ | $1,636 | −$29 −1.8% | — |
| 10h | Contestable-Parfait5 fills | Gadi Eizenkot | BuyYes51¢ → 52¢ | $9,218 | +$62 +0.7% | 28 |
| 11h | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo72¢ → 73¢ | $7,100 | +$22 +0.3% | 14 | |
| 11h | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo72¢ → 73¢ | $7,160 | −$50 −0.7% | — | |
| 11h | ponydsb2 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo73¢ | $2,879 | −$20 −0.7% | 13 |
| 12h | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo73¢ | $2,190 | −$15 −0.7% | 13 | |
| 12h | cocococococo3 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo71¢ → 73¢ | $7,077 | +$172 +2.4% | 12 |
| 12h | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo72¢ → 73¢ | $32,350 | +$275 +0.9% | 23 | |
| 13h | semi-semi- | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo72¢ → 73¢ | $1,529 | +$11 +0.7% | 12 |
| 16h | Ferwhere | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellYes28¢ | $8,690 | +$155 +1.8% | — |
| 17h | WillBeQuant3 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo69¢ → 73¢ | $5,939 | −$259 −4.4% | — |
| 18h | Naftali Bennett | SellNo85¢ → 86¢ | $3,019 | −$18 −0.6% | — | |
| 18h | Giant-Bolero5 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes35¢ → 28¢ | $6,371 | −$1,320 −21% | 18 |
| 18h | Iseedeadpoeple | Gadi Eizenkot | SellYes50¢ → 52¢ | $1,479 | −$44 −3.0% | — |
| 20h | Ferwhere | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes29¢ → 28¢ | $9,000 | −$466 −5.2% | 24 |
| 20h | wan1233 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo72¢ → 73¢ | $61,102 | +$504 +0.8% | 29 |
| 20h | WarriorH8 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo71¢ → 73¢ | $15,463 | +$424 +2.7% | 15 |
| 21h | SquirrelTheMerchant2 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo71¢ → 73¢ | $3,442 | +$92 +2.7% | 13 |
| 21h | browne | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo70¢ → 73¢ | $1,340 | −$48 −3.6% | — |
| 21h | Boz13 | Gadi Eizenkot | BuyYes50¢ → 52¢ | $4,350 | +$158 +3.6% | 20 |
| 1d | pexlibanhs | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo72¢ → 73¢ | $1,123 | +$13 +1.2% | 12 |
| 1d | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo72¢ → 73¢ | $29,862 | +$378 +1.3% | 22 | |
| 1d | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo70¢ → 73¢ | $3,665 | −$131 −3.6% | — | |
| 1d | Dreary-Dhow | Gadi Eizenkot | BuyYes50¢ → 52¢ | $1,000 | +$39 +3.9% | 14 |
| 1d | Binema | Gadi Eizenkot | BuyYes50¢ → 52¢ | $1,000 | +$44 +4.4% | 14 |
| 1d | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes30¢ → 28¢ | $29,994 | −$2,304 −7.7% | 36 | |
| 1d | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo73¢ | $5,291 | −$31 −0.6% | 14 | |
| 1d | pykue | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo71¢ → 73¢ | $1,118 | +$24 +2.1% | 12 |
| 1d | Distinct-Ballpark-Grenade2 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes29¢ → 28¢ | $4,000 | −$218 −5.4% | 17 |
| 1d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo71¢ → 73¢ | $2,450 | −$52 −2.1% | — |
| 1d | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo72¢ → 73¢ | $1,149 | −$8 −0.7% | — | |
| 1d | dromedaryy | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo70¢ → 73¢ | $1,199 | +$43 +3.6% | 12 |
| 1d | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo70¢ → 73¢ | $1,050 | +$38 +3.6% | 12 | |
| 1d | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo70¢ → 73¢ | $2,030 | +$73 +3.6% | 13 | |
| 1d | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes30¢ → 28¢ | $5,216 | −$435 −8.3% | 20 | |
| 1d | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo71¢ → 73¢ | $1,055 | +$22 +2.1% | 12 | |
| 1d | wwwyb | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes30¢ → 28¢ | $4,850 | −$367 −7.6% | 20 |
| 1d | johnnydramabatty | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes30¢ → 28¢ | $4,964 | −$359 −7.2% | 20 |
| 2d | Bigmac69 | Avigdor Lieberman | SellNo98¢ | $1,720 | +$2 +0.1% | — |
| 2d | Ulfsaar | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo71¢ → 73¢ | $4,970 | +$105 +2.1% | 14 |
| 2d | defillama7 | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo70¢ → 73¢ | $35,329 | +$1,262 +3.6% | 25 |
| 2d | MBZ5 | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes31¢ → 28¢ | $1,100 | −$124 −11% | 13 |
| 2d | sbimbg | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo69¢ → 73¢ | $10,350 | −$525 −5.1% | — |
| 2d | feeder-of-markets | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo70¢ → 73¢ | $3,855 | −$138 −3.6% | — |
| 2d | Mushy-Shine-CampusNew account | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes30¢ → 28¢ | $88,800 | −$8,366 −9.4% | 58 |
| 2d | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo69¢ → 73¢ | $6,814 | +$296 +4.3% | 12 | |
| 2d | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo70¢ → 73¢ | $1,000 | +$36 +3.6% | 12 | |
| 2d | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyNo68¢ → 73¢ | $8,046 | +$532 +6.6% | 15 | |
| 2d | Cainez | Benjamin Netanyahu | BuyYes27¢ → 28¢ | $1,777 | +$17 +1.0% | 15 |
| 2d | Giant-Bolero | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellYes26¢ → 28¢ | $4,995 | −$288 −5.8% | — |
| 2d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed10 fills | Benjamin Netanyahu | SellNo71¢ → 73¢ | $13,631 | −$249 −1.8% | — |
| 2d | Authorized-Gazelle | Naftali Bennett | BuyYes18¢ → 14¢ | $1,000 | −$204 −20% | 17 |
| 2d | 0xf08d…0811 | Naftali Bennett | SellNo82¢ → 86¢ | $6,354 | −$277 −4.4% | — |
| 2d | Naftali Bennett | BuyNo84¢ → 86¢ | $2,617 | +$53 +2.0% | 16 | |
| 2d | Naftali Bennett | BuyNo85¢ → 86¢ | $2,067 | +$12 +0.6% | 16 |
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 52¢ for Gadi Eizenkot means the market gives it about 52%.