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Polymarket wallet 0x36cfc7def5c4e650de13484cc6e9ce709a05eca6 · on Polymarket since Dec 22, 2025 · also shown as Worst-Lava
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Settled - ready to redeem | US | 2 | 57¢ → 50¢ | $1 | −$0 −12% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 208 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Pelicans vs. CavaliersSettled - ready to redeem | Pelicans | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,024 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Wizards vs. HornetsSettled - ready to redeem | Wizards | 10,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 238d | Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | BuyUS57¢ | $1 |
| 238d | Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)? | SellYes5¢ | $1 |
| 238d | Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)? | BuyYes7¢ | $2 |
| 265d | Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | BuyYes31¢ | $1 |
| 303d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET | BuyDown56¢ | $1 |
| 303d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $5 |
| 303d | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | BuyUp16¢ | $1 |
| 303d | Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26? | BuyNo<1¢ | $15 |
| 303d | Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files? | BuyNo<1¢ | $5 |
| 303d | Pelicans vs. Cavaliers | BuyPelicans<1¢ | $1 |
| 303d | Wizards vs. Hornets | BuyWizards<1¢ | $10 |
| 303d | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BuyNo2¢ | $5 |
| 303d | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | SellYes<1¢ | $3 |
| 303d | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | BuyYes<1¢ | $5 |
| 303d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BuyNo98¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.